WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above 2026 on June 9?

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Market context

WTI crude oil will close on 9 June 2026 at some price level, and this market asks whether that closing price will exceed a specific threshold. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that the outcome occurs; a NO share bets against it. If you buy a YES share at current odds (0% implied probability) and WTI does close above the stated price, your share settles at £1. If it closes below, it settles at £0. The inverse applies to NO shares. This particular market's 0% probability suggests traders collectively view the threshold as unreachably high relative to expected June 2026 prices.

Historical WTI price action offers context for interpreting such extreme probabilities. Between 2020 and 2024, WTI ranged from lows near $10 per barrel during the pandemic shock to peaks above $120 during the 2022 supply crisis. More recently, prices have stabilised in the $70–90 range, reflecting a balance between OPEC+ production management and global demand concerns. A 0% probability typically signals either an exceptionally high strike price or a market view that geopolitical or supply shocks are unlikely within the settlement window.

Traders monitoring this market should track OPEC+ production decisions, scheduled for June 2026, alongside US inventory data releases and any escalation in Middle Eastern tensions. Seasonal demand patterns favour slightly softer prices in early summer, though refinery maintenance schedules and hurricane season activity in the Gulf of Mexico can create upside volatility. Currency movements—particularly dollar strength—will also influence WTI's dollar-denominated price trajectory heading into the settlement date.

Methodology

This page reviews WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above 2026 on June 9? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.