England vs. Croatia - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

England and Croatia will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 17 June at 4:00 PM ET. This market asks traders to predict the exact final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time—extra time and penalty shootouts do not count. A YES share pays out if England's and Croatia's goals match one of the explicitly listed scorelines; a NO share pays out if the result falls outside those predefined outcomes, settling instead to "Any Other Score." The 9% probability currently assigned to YES reflects the inherent difficulty of forecasting any single exact scoreline among dozens of plausible results.

Historical World Cup encounters between these nations offer limited precedent: they last met in the 2018 World Cup final, where France defeated both teams' hopes. England's recent tournament record shows variable attacking output—ranging from 1–0 victories to 4–0 wins depending on opposition quality. Croatia's defensive solidity has historically kept matches tight, though their squad composition may shift by 2026. Exact-score markets typically see low probabilities distributed across many outcomes because even evenly matched sides produce a wide range of final tallies.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates as the tournament approaches, particularly regarding England's attacking depth and Croatia's goalkeeper situation. Fixture scheduling—whether either team plays a demanding preceding match—can affect fatigue levels and tactical approach. Recent qualifying performance and any pre-tournament friendlies will provide concrete form data closer to June 2026. The settlement window closes at 20:00 UTC on match day, allowing only the official final whistle to determine the outcome.

Methodology

This page reviews England vs. Croatia - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.