Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Halftime Result

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Germany and Côte d’Ivoire are in the World Cup group stage, and this market settles on the scoreline at half-time, not the final result. In a prediction market, a **YES** share pays out if the listed outcome happens, while a **NO** share pays out if it does not; here, the contract is about the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time only. A crowd-implied probability of **0% YES** means traders are assigning almost no chance to the specific half-time outcome being priced in this contract.

Recent comparable evidence points to how quickly these markets can move on one early event. In the actual Germany–Côte d’Ivoire match, Côte d’Ivoire went in **1-0 ahead at half-time** before Germany recovered to win **2-1** after the interval, which shows why half-time markets must be read separately from full-time match odds.[1][2][5][6] For a beginner, the key lesson is that a strong favourite can still trail at the break; the market is therefore sensitive to the first goal, not just to overall team strength.

The main catalysts for traders are team news, confirmed line-ups, and the match schedule itself, because late changes can affect first-half scoring patterns far more than full-match expectations. FIFA’s match listing places kick-off at **16:00 local time** on **20 June 2026**, while BBC and other live reports note the game’s actual flow hinged on an early Ivory Coast goal and Germany’s second-half response.[4][5][2] Any updates on starting forwards, defensive injuries, or tactical rotation before kick-off are the most immediate drivers of a half-time result market.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.