Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Halftime Result

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Market context

On 25 June 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, Curaçao and Côte d'Ivoire met in a FIFA World Cup Group E match, with Côte d'Ivoire winning 2–0 thanks to a Nicolas Pépé brace that secured their first-ever knockout-stage appearance [1][2]. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the selected outcome occurs—here, that Curaçao leads at halftime—while a NO share pays if it does not; the current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES reflects that the match has already concluded with Côte d'Ivoire dominating from the start [3][6].

Historically, World Cup debutants like Curaçao rarely lead at halftime against established nations, especially when facing teams with strong knockout ambitions; in this case, Côte d'Ivoire scored in both halves, confirming their control early [4][5]. Comparable cases show that teams needing just a point to advance often dominate the first 45 minutes, as Emerse Fae’s side did by claiming all three points rather than settling for one [1].

Traders should monitor official match reports and halftime statistics for future fixtures, though this event is settled; for upcoming games, key catalysts include team news, referee assignments, and stoppage-time declarations that can alter halftime outcomes [7]. Recent coverage from FIFA confirms Côte d'Ivoire’s breezy victory and Curaçao’s hard-fought but ultimately unsuccessful campaign, underscoring the gap in performance levels [6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.