Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Spread -2.5 | 0% Pittsburgh Pirates | 100% Colorado Rockies |
| Extra Innings | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% Pittsburgh Pirates | 100% Colorado Rockies |
| O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% Pittsburgh Pirates | 100% Colorado Rockies |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% Colorado Rockies | 100% Pittsburgh Pirates |
Market context
The Pittsburgh Pirates are scheduled to play the Colorado Rockies, with the market settling on the team that wins the game, or 50-50 if the match is cancelled entirely or ends in a tie. In prediction-market terms, a **YES** share pays out if the named outcome happens, while a **NO** share pays out if it does not; here, the question is simply which side wins, with postponements kept open until the game is actually completed.
A **0% YES** price is best read as the market saying the Pirates are being treated as effectively unavailable to win in current trading, not as a literal statement that an upset is impossible. That matters because baseball is a low-scoring sport with high variance, and even strong pre-game favourites can lose on a single bullpen collapse, defensive error, or short burst of offence. Comparable preview coverage for this series has pointed to the Pirates’ pitching edge and the Rockies’ difficulty sustaining offence, which is the sort of pre-match framing that often keeps prices one-sided before first pitch.[2][4]
The main catalysts are lineup and pitcher confirmations, any late scratches, and whether the game is completed on schedule. ESPN’s preview identifies this as game 2 of the series on 20 June, while MLB’s game preview page tracks the starting pitching context and recent form heading into the matchup.[3][4] For traders, the practical dependencies are simple: confirmed starters, weather or postponement updates, and any official schedule change that could push resolution past the listed window if the game is not finished on the day.[3][4]
Methodology
This page reviews Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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