Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
3% | 97% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
3% | 97% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Panama 0 - 0 England | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Panama 1 - 0 England | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Panama 1 - 1 England | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Panama 0 - 3 England | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| Panama 2 - 1 England | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Panama 1 - 3 England | 8% YES | 93% NO |
Market context
On 27 June 2026 at MetLife Stadium, Panama and England will face off in the final Group L match of the FIFA World Cup, with the contest resolving after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time. A YES share in this market pays out if the final score matches one of the explicitly listed exact outcomes, while a NO share wins if the score is any other result or the match is cancelled. The current crowd-implied probability of 3% for a specific exact score suggests traders view that precise outcome as highly unlikely, a stance often seen when a dominant side like England (who hold a -450 favourite rating) faces a team with Panama’s recent defensive volatility, averaging 2.2 goals conceded per match in their last five games[1][2].
Historically, exact-score markets in World Cup group stages involving a clear favourite rarely settle on the most specific low-probability outcomes unless the match is tightly contested; Panama’s 2018 World Cup showing, where they lost all three matches, mirrors their current 0-0-2 record in Group L, reinforcing the difficulty of predicting a precise scoreline against England’s attacking strength[1][7]. Traders should monitor England’s pre-match training updates and any late lineup announcements, as Harry Kane’s fitness or Declan Rice’s inclusion could shift goal expectations significantly, with BBC coverage confirming the broadcast schedule begins at 8.30pm UK time on the day of the match[3][6]. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on 27 June, so any postponement will extend the market’s open period until the game is completed, making real-time news from official FIFA sources critical for position management[4][5].
Methodology
This page reviews Panama vs. England - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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