Solana price on June 8?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

This market settles on the closing price of Solana (SOL) against the US dollar on Binance at noon Eastern Time on 8 June 2026. A YES share pays out if SOL/USDT closes within a specified price bracket at that exact moment; a NO share pays if it falls outside that bracket or if data cannot be retrieved. The resolution hinges on a single 1-minute candle from Binance's SOL/USDT pair, making this a precise, time-sensitive contract rather than an average or range-based settlement.

The 0% implied probability suggests traders currently assess the target bracket as extremely unlikely given Solana's historical volatility and typical trading ranges. SOL has oscillated between roughly $20 and $250 over recent years, with significant moves tied to network upgrades, developer activity, and broader crypto sentiment shifts. Comparable single-point-in-time price markets on established assets show that extreme probabilities often reflect either a bracket set far from consensus expectations or genuine uncertainty about whether data will resolve cleanly. Historical precedent indicates that when a market shows 0% conviction, either the bracket is genuinely implausible or traders have simply not engaged with the specific settlement terms.

Traders monitoring this contract should track Solana's technical levels in the weeks before June 2026, major ecosystem announcements from the Solana Foundation, and shifts in institutional adoption or regulatory clarity around crypto assets. Binance API reliability and any potential trading halts on the SOL/USDT pair would also affect settlement certainty. The two-year window allows substantial price discovery, though the noon ET timestamp creates a narrow execution window that cannot be hedged by trading at other times.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.