Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of croatia open: flavio cobolli vs roman andres burruchaga. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Croatia Open, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market wi…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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