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Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 8.5 85% Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 21.5 65% Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 9.5 64% Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot 56% Volume: $126K Liquidity: $429K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
85% 15% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
85% 15% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 8.585%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 21.565%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 9.564%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot56%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 Winner56%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 22.556%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 Winner54%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 8.551%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 10.551%
Completed Match50%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Match O/U 23.548%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Total Sets: O/U 2.540%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set 1 O/U 10.540%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot Set Handicap +/-1.538%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 85% probability to swiss open: raphael collignon vs valentin vacherot. This market refers to the tennis match between Raphael Collignon and Valentin Vacherot in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Col…

Methodology

This page reviews Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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