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Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Five-platform snapshot of "Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 2 O/U 8.5 99% Volume: $368K Liquidity: $143K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 2 O/U 8.599%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 2 O/U 9.599%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Total Sets: O/U 3.566%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set Handicap +/-1.560%
Completed Match51%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Match O/U 36.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Match O/U 38.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 3 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 2 Winner46%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 3 Winner44%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Match O/U 40.537%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Total Sets: O/U 4.535%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set Handicap +/-2.533%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard27%
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Set 1 Winner0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon atp: yannick hanfmann vs giovanni mpetshi perricard. This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

We track Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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