Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 Winner | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 38% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 40.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon atp: jaume munar vs francisco cerundolo. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Jaume Munar and Francisco Cerundolo in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will reso…
Methodology
This page reviews Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Wimbledon ATP: Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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