Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0% Cameron Norrie | 100% Alejandro Davidovich Fokina |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% Over 2.5 | 100% Under 2.5 |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 0% probability to hsbc championships: cameron norrie vs alejandro davidovich fokina. This market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davi… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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