Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel | 98% |
| Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel Set 2 Winner | 95% |
| Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 93% |
| Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 21.5 | 61% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 22.5 | 22% |
| Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 4% |
| Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to swedish open: botic van de zandschulp vs taro daniel. This market refers to the tennis match between Botic van de Zandschulp and Taro Daniel in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Botic van…
Methodology
This page reviews Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Daniel on Prediction Market UK
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