Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -1.5 | 92% |
| Spread -4.5 | 88% |
| Spread -5.5 | 83% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| Spread -7.5 | 79% |
| O/U 29.5 | 75% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 75% |
| Spread -8.5 | 74% |
| O/U 31.5 | 73% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 71% |
| O/U 33.5 | 69% |
| Spread -11.5 | 68% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 67% |
| O/U 35.5 | 66% |
| Spread -13.5 | 64% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 62% |
| Spread -14.5 | 61% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 61% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| O/U 37.5 | 60% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 59% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| Spread -16.5 | 55% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| Spread -15.5 | 54% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| Spread -17.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Indiana O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Indiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Indiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Indiana: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Indiana 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Indiana: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Indiana: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Indiana Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Northwestern vs. Indiana: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| O/U 43.5 | 48% |
| O/U 41.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| Spread -19.5 | 43% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| Spread -20.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| Spread -21.5 | 38% |
| Indiana 1H O/U 20.5 | 38% |
| Northwestern O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Spread -22.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| O/U 45.5 | 33% |
| Spread -23.5 | 32% |
| Spread -24.5 | 31% |
| O/U 59.5 | 31% |
| O/U 61.5 | 30% |
| O/U 67.5 | 30% |
| Northwestern 1H O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Indiana O/U 34.5 | 29% |
| O/U 65.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| Spread -25.5 | 27% |
| Spread -26.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| O/U 47.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 26% |
| O/U 53.5 | 25% |
| Northwestern O/U 16.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 24% |
| Spread -27.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| Spread -29.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 20% |
| Spread -28.5 | 19% |
| O/U 49.5 | 19% |
| Indiana O/U 37.5 | 19% |
| Northwestern O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Spread -30.5 | 17% |
| O/U 55.5 | 17% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 17% |
| O/U 51.5 | 16% |
| Spread -32.5 | 15% |
| Spread -35.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 10% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Spread -36.5 | 9% |
| Northwestern vs. Indiana | 8% |
| O/U 57.5 | 8% |
| Spread -38.5 | 7% |
| Spread -39.5 | 7% |
| Spread -42.5 | 7% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 6% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 6% |
| O/U 63.5 | 5% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 4% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 3% |
| O/U 69.5 | 2% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 2% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 2% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 2% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 2% |
Market context
The Northwestern vs. Indiana prediction market currently prices this outcome at 92% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Northwestern and Indiana, scheduled for September 25 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Northwestern" if Northwestern win the game. This market wi…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $776K.
Methodology
We track Northwestern vs. Indiana across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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