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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 60% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 57% Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) 55% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) 52% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $424K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)60%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)57%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)55%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5)52%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.545%
O/U 2.5 Games38%
Map 1 Winner32%
Map 2 Winner23%
Match Winner20%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: 3dmax vs mouz (bo3) - blast bounty playoffs stands at 60% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between 3DMAX and MOUZ in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 31 at 8:30AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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