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Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5) 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 90% Volume: $79K Liquidity: $2.5M Closes: 13 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-6.5) vs largadosypelados (+6.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5)51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.525%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-3.5) vs largadosypelados (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-9.5) vs largadosypelados (+9.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-6.5) vs largadosypelados (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-9.5) vs largadosypelados (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Imperial (-12.5) vs largadosypelados (+12.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: largadosypelados vs imperial (bo3) - thunderpick world championship south american series #2 playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between largadosypelados and Imperial in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs, initially …

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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