Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
47% | 53% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
47% | 53% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 47% TheMongolz | 54% BetBoom Team |
| Map 2 Winner | 56% TheMongolz | 44% BetBoom Team |
| Match Winner | 52% TheMongolz | 49% BetBoom Team |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% Over | 53% Under |
| Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | 30% TheMongolz | 71% BetBoom Team |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% Over | 50% Under |
Market context
TheMongolz, a Mongolian Counter-Strike team, will face BetBoom Team, a roster representing the CIS region, in a best-of-three match during the opening round of IEM Cologne Major Stage 3. The fixture is scheduled for 11 June at 05:00 ET. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a wager that TheMongolz will win; a NO share bets on BetBoom Team's victory. The current crowd-implied probability of 48% YES suggests near-parity, with a slight lean towards BetBoom Team at the moment.
TheMongolz have established themselves as a credible mid-tier international side, though they lack the consistent trophy pedigree of established European powerhouses. BetBoom Team, by contrast, has fielded competitive rosters within the CIS circuit and occasionally punched above their weight in international tournaments. Historical matchups between teams of comparable ranking typically settle around 50–50 odds, which aligns with the current market reading. The slight favouring of BetBoom reflects their recent tournament appearances and roster stability, though neither team enters as a clear favourite.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions in the days before 11 June, as injury or visa complications have disrupted CIS-region participation in past majors. The scheduling window—a 05:00 ET start—may affect preparation quality for both teams depending on their geographical positioning. Any official announcement from ESL regarding format changes or bracket adjustments would shift the probability materially. The 7-day delay clause means matches abandoned without completion before 18 June would trigger a 50-50 resolution.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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