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Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Volume: $203K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs Eternal Fire (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-6.5) vs Eternal Fire (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-9.5) vs Eternal Fire (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-6.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-9.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+9.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-6.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-9.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+9.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between Nuclear TigeRES and Eternal Fire in the Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal Fire (BO3… on Prediction Market UK

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