Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% paiN | 100% BIG |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: paiN (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) | 0% paiN | 100% BIG |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5) | 100% BIG | 1% paiN |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BIG (-6.5) vs paiN (+6.5) | 1% BIG | 100% paiN |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: pain vs big (bo1) - iem cologne major stage 2 stands at 0% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between paiN and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolv…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Majo… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Prediction Market UK →