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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 90% Match Winner 72% Volume: $798K Liquidity: $508K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?90%
Match Winner72%
Ends in Daytime51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan49%
Both Teams Beat Roshan49%
Game 2 Winner45%
Ends in Daytime10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: nigma galaxy vs team liquid (bo2) - esports world cup group b. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and Team Liquid in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 9 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" i…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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