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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1? 99% Match Winner 87% Volume: $746K Liquidity: $254K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?99%
Match Winner87%
Game 2 Winner75%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?52%
Any Player Ultra Kill51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 95.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 100.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 105.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 110.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 120.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of dota 2: team spirit vs mouz (bo2) - esports world cup group c. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Spirit and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 7 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Te…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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