Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
2% | 98% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
2% | 98% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Croatia (-1.5) | 2% Croatia | 99% Slovenia |
| Slovenia (-1.5) | 1% Slovenia | 100% Croatia |
| Croatia (-2.5) | 4% Croatia | 96% Slovenia |
| Slovenia (-2.5) | 0% Slovenia | 100% Croatia |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 46% Over | 55% Under |
Market context
Croatia and Slovenia are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 7 June 2026 at 2:45 PM ET. The market asks whether additional betting or trading markets will be created for this fixture beyond those already available. When you buy a YES share, you're wagering that more markets will materialise; a NO share represents the opposite view. The current crowd estimate of 26% suggests traders believe it unlikely that further markets will be added.
International friendlies typically generate fewer derivative markets than competitive fixtures, particularly when both nations are outside the tournament calendar window. Croatia and Slovenia, neighbours in the Balkans with a modest combined global audience, rarely attract the market depth of major European derbies or World Cup qualifiers. Historical precedent shows that UEFA friendlies involving smaller confederations often settle with just core match-outcome and goal-total markets, with additional props materialised only if unexpected commercial interest or media attention emerges.
Traders should monitor UEFA's official fixture announcements and any late sponsorship deals tied to the match, as these can trigger expanded market offerings. Venue confirmation and team news closer to June may also shift expectations—injury absences among key players sometimes prompt bookmakers to withdraw rather than expand markets. The settlement window closes shortly after kick-off, so any market expansion must occur before or during the opening minutes of play. Current liquidity and trading volume on existing markets for this friendly will signal whether platforms see sufficient demand to justify additional offerings.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $237K.
Methodology
This page reviews Croatia vs. Slovenia - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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