Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Jordan (-1.5) | 0% Jordan | 100% Colombia |
| Colombia (-1.5) | 88% Colombia | 13% Jordan |
| Jordan (-2.5) | 0% Jordan | 100% Colombia |
| Colombia (-2.5) | 49% Colombia | 52% Jordan |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% Over | 1% Under |
Market context
Jordan and Colombia are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 7 June at 7:00 PM ET. The match represents a routine fixture between two nations outside major tournament windows. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that additional markets—such as first goalscorer, total goals, or half-time results—will be created for this specific fixture. A NO share bets they will not. The 0% probability currently displayed suggests the market has not yet attracted meaningful trading activity, or traders assess the likelihood of supplementary markets materialising as negligible.
International friendlies typically generate secondary markets only when they involve higher-profile nations or occur during peak viewing periods in major regions. Jordan and Colombia, whilst established international sides, do not command the audience pull of European or South American powerhouses. Historical precedent shows that friendlies between mid-tier nations often receive minimal market expansion beyond basic match outcomes. The settlement window closing on 7 June at 23:00 UTC provides a tight window—the match itself concludes hours earlier—meaning market creation would need to occur swiftly for YES traders to profit.
Traders monitoring this market should track whether either federation announces elevated media coverage or whether the fixture gains unexpected prominence through injury updates to major tournaments. Fixture confirmations and any last-minute scheduling changes would be published through official FIFA channels and national football association websites. The absence of recent news amplifying this friendly suggests the baseline expectation of minimal market proliferation remains intact.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $358K.
Methodology
This page reviews Jordan vs. Colombia - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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