Kosovo vs. Andorra

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Active sub-markets

Market context

A friendly football match between Kosovo and Andorra is scheduled for Sunday, 7 June 2026. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that this fixture will occur as planned; a NO share bets it will be cancelled, postponed, or not take place. The current probability sits at 100% YES, meaning traders are pricing near-certainty that the match happens. Settlement occurs when the fixture's scheduled kick-off time passes or an official cancellation is announced.

International friendlies rarely face cancellation once scheduled, particularly when both nations have confirmed participation through their football associations. Kosovo and Andorra have both competed in recent UEFA qualifying campaigns, and neither faces the diplomatic or security constraints that occasionally derail fixtures involving other nations. Historical precedent suggests friendly matches between lower-ranked European sides proceed as scheduled in over 99% of cases, barring exceptional circumstances such as natural disasters or sudden geopolitical crises.

Traders should monitor official announcements from the Kosovo Football Federation and the Andorran Football Association in the months preceding June 2026. Squad availability, injury lists, and any last-minute fixture rescheduling by UEFA or national federations could theoretically shift probabilities, though such changes are uncommon for friendlies. The settlement window closes at 17:00 GMT on match day, giving traders until the scheduled start time to adjust positions based on any breaking news regarding team arrivals, venue access, or official postponement notices.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.