Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots | 100% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ shots | 99% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots | 99% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots | 90% |
| Yassine Bounou: 2+ saves | 76% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots | 75% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ shots | 69% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots on target | 60% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ shots | 59% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ assists | 51% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Promise David: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Promise David: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Promise David: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Promise David: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Promise David: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ assists | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Promise David: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Promise David: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Promise David: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Dayne St. Clair: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Dayne St. Clair: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Dayne St. Clair: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Dayne St. Clair: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Yassine Bounou: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Yassine Bounou: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Yassine Bounou: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Cyle Larin: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Ismael Saibari: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Jonathan David: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goals | 47% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals | 26% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals + assists | 22% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 1+ goals | 19% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ goals | 17% |
| Brahim Díaz: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Cyle Larin: 3+ goals | 13% |
| Promise David: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 2+ goals | 13% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ assists | 12% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals | 11% |
| Promise David: 1+ goals | 11% |
| Brahim Díaz: 1+ assists | 11% |
| Cyle Larin: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Jonathan David: 3+ goals | 10% |
| Soufiane Rahimi: 3+ goals | 10% |
| Jonathan David: 1+ assists | 10% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goals | 8% |
| Promise David: 3+ goals | 8% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 3+ goals | 8% |
| Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals | 7% |
| Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals | 6% |
| Jonathan David: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Brahim Díaz: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Cyle Larin: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ shots | 2% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots | 1% |
| Ismael Saibari: 3+ shots | 1% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 4+ shots | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 5+ shots | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ assists | 0% |
| Ismael Saibari: 2+ assists | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to canada vs. morocco - player props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Canada and Morocco, scheduled for July 4 at 1:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Canada vs. Morocco - Player Props on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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