Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

On 30 June 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, Côte d’Ivoire will face Norway in a FIFA World Cup Round of 32 match, with this prediction market resolving on the exact score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time. A YES share means you are betting that the final score matches one of the explicitly listed outcomes; a NO share means you believe the score will be “Any Other Score.” The market currently implies a 7% chance of a YES outcome, suggesting the listed scores are considered unlikely by the crowd.

Historically, knockout-stage matches between teams with contrasting styles—such as Côte d’Ivoire’s early-scoring consistency and Norway’s reliance on Erling Haaland—often produce tight, low-margin results. Côte d’Ivoire have opened the scoring in all three of their 2026 World Cup matches, while only two of their last seven games saw both teams score, hinting at defensive solidity but also potential vulnerability against elite attackers. Norway, returning to the World Cup after 28 years, are favourites to win, yet early money has shifted toward Côte d’Ivoire, reflecting uncertainty about the exact scoreline rather than the winner alone.

Traders should monitor pre-match announcements from both head coaches, particularly Ståle Solbakken’s press comments ahead of the fixture, and any late squad updates regarding player fitness. The match is scheduled for a single day with no confirmed postponement, but weather conditions in Southern California could influence play. Recent coverage from Sportsnet confirms the Round of 32 matchups are finalized, and DraftKings notes Norway as the betting favourite, yet market volatility suggests the exact score remains the key variable to watch before settlement on 30 June 2026.

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Methodology

This page reviews Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.