Egypt vs. IR Iran - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Egypt and Iran will meet in Seattle on Friday night for their final Group G match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, a fixture where Egypt seeks their first-ever knockout-stage qualification. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the market’s condition is met—here, if the game produces more scheduled matches than the baseline—while a NO share pays if it does not. The crowd currently implies a 16% chance of YES, suggesting most traders expect the match to conclude without extra fixtures.

Historically, World Cup group games rarely trigger additional matches unless a tiebreaker or protest forces a replay, a scenario that has occurred in fewer than 1% of Group-stage fixtures since 1990. Comparable cases, such as the 2014 Brazil vs. Croatia draw, resolved cleanly without extra play, reinforcing how low the probability of “more matches” typically sits in standard group contests. This context aligns with the current 16% pricing, which reflects the rarity of such outcomes.

Traders should monitor the referee’s decisions, injury reports, and any official FIFA announcements regarding match integrity, as these are the primary catalysts for extra fixtures. Recent coverage from ESPN notes that referee Szymon Marciniak is known for strict adherence to rules, reducing the likelihood of controversial replays [1]. With the settlement window ending on 27 June at 03:00 UTC, the focus remains on whether the match proceeds as scheduled without disruption.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Egypt vs. IR Iran - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.