England vs. DR Congo - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

On Wednesday, 1 July 2026 at 5pm BST, England will face DR Congo in the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 at Atlanta Stadium, with the market resolving on the exact final score after 90 minutes of regulation. A YES share in this prediction market means you are betting that the match will end with one of the explicitly listed scores; a NO share means you believe the result will be any other score. The current crowd-implied probability of 8% suggests traders see a specific outcome as unlikely, though history warns that even favourites can be caught in tight knockout ties.

Historical World Cup last-32 matches often defy pre-match odds, with several favourites losing or drawing despite superior group-stage form. England, ranked third in possession (65.3%) in the group stage, face DR Congo, who ranked 38th (38.5%), yet past data shows possession alone does not guarantee a high-scoring win[1]. The Opta supercomputer gives England a 73.9% win probability, but the likelihood of a draw after 90 minutes sits at 14.8%, indicating that low-scoring, nail-biter outcomes are common in this round[3].

Traders should monitor team news released before kick-off, particularly Harry Kane’s fitness and whether Elliot Anderson starts, as both influence England’s attacking output[3]. The match will be broadcast live on BBC One and BBC iPlayer in the UK, so any pre-game announcements from the England squad or DR Congo training updates will be widely reported[2]. With the settlement window ending at 16:00 UTC on 1 July, any postponement will keep the market open until completion, making real-time updates from FIFA’s official channels critical for timing decisions[4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.