Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Edouard Mendy: 2+ saves | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Mike Maignan: 3+ saves | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Mike Maignan: 2+ saves | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Edouard Mendy: 3+ saves | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Mike Maignan: 4+ saves | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Edouard Mendy: 4+ saves | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
France and Senegal will meet in a World Cup fixture on 16 June 2026, with the match kicking off at 3:00 PM ET. This market invites traders to forecast which players will score during the encounter. When you purchase a YES share, you're betting that a specific player will find the net; a NO share means you're wagering they won't. The settlement window closes at 7:00 PM ET on match day, giving traders roughly four hours after the final whistle to settle positions based on official match records.
France's attacking depth and Senegal's defensive record provide useful historical anchors. France has qualified for four consecutive World Cup tournaments and typically fields multiple prolific forwards; Senegal reached the 2002 World Cup final and has demonstrated resilience in knockout stages. The 50% crowd probability suggests genuine uncertainty about which individual players will convert chances—a reflection of both teams' competitive parity and the inherent unpredictability of goal-scoring in knockout football. Previous France–Senegal encounters have been closely contested, with goals distributed across different attacking options rather than concentrated among one or two names.
Traders should monitor team news through early June, particularly injury updates and squad announcements from the French Football Federation and Senegalese Football Federation. Tactical adjustments disclosed in pre-match press conferences can shift the likelihood of specific players featuring prominently. Weather conditions at the venue and recent form in qualifying rounds will also influence attacking patterns. Official confirmation of starting lineups typically arrives 90 minutes before kickoff, providing a final data point before settlement.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $195K.
Methodology
This page reviews France vs. Senegal - Player Props across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade France vs. Senegal - Player Props on Prediction Market UK
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