Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The 2026 FIFA World Cup will see Haiti face Scotland on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. This market settles on the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time—extra time and penalty shootouts do not count. A YES share pays out if the match ends in one of the explicitly listed scorelines; a NO share pays if the result is any other score. The current 11% implied probability reflects the likelihood that the final whistle produces an exact match to one of the pre-specified outcomes, rather than settling to "Any Other Score."

Haiti and Scotland have limited recent competitive history, but both nations qualified for the 2026 tournament. Scotland's World Cup appearances have typically featured defensive solidity; their last tournament appearance in 1998 saw matches ending 2–1, 1–0, and 3–0. Haiti's 2018 World Cup campaign included a 4–2 loss to Switzerland and a 3–0 defeat to Belgium, suggesting matches with this side tend toward multiple goals. The 11% probability suggests markets view an exact-score outcome as unlikely—a reasonable assessment given the combinatorial challenge of predicting precise scorelines in football, where most matches settle to outcomes outside the listed options.

Traders should monitor team news closer to June 2026, particularly injury updates and squad rotation patterns as the tournament progresses. Fixture scheduling and group-stage momentum will influence tactical approaches; a team needing victory plays differently from one already qualified. Weather conditions at the venue and any late managerial changes could shift expected goal-scoring patterns. The settlement window closes 2026-06-14 at 01:00 UTC, allowing approximately seven hours after the scheduled kick-off for final confirmation of the official result.

Methodology

This page reviews Haiti vs. Scotland - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.