Haiti vs. Scotland - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland will meet in a FIFA World Cup qualifier on 13 June 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. This market asks whether the total number of corner kicks awarded during the match will exceed a specific threshold—likely set at a round number such as 8, 9, or 10. A YES share pays out if corners meet or surpass that level; a NO share pays if they fall short. The current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES suggests traders believe corners will remain below the threshold with near-certainty, though such extreme readings often reflect low liquidity or sparse trading activity rather than genuine consensus.

Corner frequency in World Cup qualifiers depends heavily on team style, pitch conditions, and competitive intensity. Haiti's recent competitive record shows limited World Cup qualification experience, whilst Scotland has participated in recent tournaments with moderate corner-generation rates. Comparable qualifying matches between teams of similar calibre typically produce 7–12 corners, with defensive-minded sides and lower-tempo play trending toward the lower end. The 0% probability reading appears disconnected from historical norms, suggesting either a data error or an absence of meaningful trading volume.

Traders should monitor team news closer to the fixture date, particularly injury status and confirmed lineups, as these affect tactical setup and attacking pressure. Weather conditions in the host nation may influence play style and set-piece frequency. Confirmation of the exact corner threshold and any rule clarifications from FIFA should be verified before settlement, as corner definitions can occasionally shift between competitions.

Methodology

We track Haiti vs. Scotland - Total Corners on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.