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Portugal vs. Spain - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Portugal vs. Spain - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Portugal 1 - 1 Spain 13% Portugal 0 - 1 Spain 11% Portugal 1 - 2 Spain 11% Any Other Score 10% Volume: $102K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Portugal vs. Spain - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 13% 87% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 13% 87% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Portugal 1 - 1 Spain13%
Portugal 0 - 1 Spain11%
Portugal 1 - 2 Spain11%
Any Other Score10%
Portugal 0 - 2 Spain9%
Portugal 0 - 0 Spain7%
Portugal 1 - 0 Spain7%
Portugal 2 - 1 Spain7%
Portugal 2 - 2 Spain7%
Portugal 1 - 3 Spain6%
Portugal 0 - 3 Spain5%
Portugal 2 - 0 Spain3%
Portugal 2 - 3 Spain3%
Portugal 3 - 1 Spain2%
Portugal 3 - 2 Spain2%
Portugal 3 - 0 Spain1%
Portugal 3 - 3 Spain1%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 13% YES probability for Portugal vs. Spain - Exact Score. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Portugal and Spain, scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Portugal vs. Spain match originally s…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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