Tunisia vs. Japan - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Tunisia meet Japan in a FIFA World Cup group match at Monterrey Stadium, with the market resolving on whether there will be *more markets* attached to the game before the settlement window closes at 04:00 UTC on 21 June. In prediction-market terms, a **YES** share pays out if the event happens and a **NO** share pays out if it does not; at a crowd-implied **4% YES**, traders are pricing this as an unlikely outcome.

That low probability makes more sense when set against the standard tournament backdrop. Match-based markets usually become more active when there are confirmed extras such as disciplinary rulings, late team-news changes, weather-related delays, or official scheduling changes, rather than the fixture itself, which is already fixed.[5][3] Historical head-to-head context also points to Japan being the stronger side on recent form: ESPN lists Japan beating Tunisia 2-0 in 2023, while earlier meetings have swung both ways, including Tunisia’s 3-0 win in 2022.[3][9]

For traders, the key catalysts are official announcements from FIFA, broadcasters, and the match venue that could add new qualifying markets before kick-off, as well as any last-minute confirmation of line-ups or match conditions.[5][3] ESPN currently lists the game for 12:00 AM on 21 June and notes World Cup coverage on FS1/Telemundo/FOX One, while FIFA’s match centre confirms the 04:00 UTC kick-off, so any change to that published set-up would be the main thing to watch.[3][5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.