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Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Set 1 Winner 100% Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Match O/U 21.5 100% Volume: $116K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Set 1 Winner100%
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Match O/U 21.5100%
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Match O/U 22.5100%
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Match O/U 23.5100%
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide0%
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Set 2 Winner0%
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of iasi: cezar cretu vs gustavo heide. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Cezar Cretu and Gustavo Heide in the Iasi, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cezar Cr…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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