Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5) | 0% Liaoning Tieren FC | 100% Shandong Taishan FC |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 100% Shandong Taishan FC | 0% Liaoning Tieren FC |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 0% Liaoning Tieren FC | 100% Shandong Taishan FC |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) | 100% Shandong Taishan FC | 0% Liaoning Tieren FC |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
A Chinese Super League match between Liaoning Tieren and Shandong Taishan is scheduled for 11:00 UTC on Saturday, 27 June 2026 at Tiexi Stadium in Shenyang, with the game kicking off at 7:00 AM ET. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the specific outcome occurs, while a NO share pays out if it does not; here, the market currently shows a 0% crowd-implied probability for the outcome, suggesting traders believe it is virtually impossible.
Historical head-to-head data frames this low probability, as Shandong Taishan has dominated Liaoning Tieren in recent encounters, including a 5–1 victory in their last CSL meeting where Liaoning failed to score in the first half[2]. Betting analysts also note that Shandong holds a stronger league record (8–3–5) compared to Liaoning’s (5–2–9), and the total goals market favours Over 2.5, which may reduce the likelihood of narrow, low-scoring outcomes that some specific markets require[1][4].
Traders should monitor the final line-up announcements and any in-game tactical shifts, as Shandong’s superior form and the expectation of a high-scoring game could quickly invalidate any niche outcome tied to a low total or a specific correct score[1]. Recent odds suggest Liaoning is a slight favourite on Asian Handicap with a +0.25 goal start, yet tipsters still rate Shandong’s chance of winning as high, reinforcing the need to watch for late squad news or weather updates that might alter the match flow before the settlement window closes[1][3].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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