The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London

Platform comparison

Market context

London Spirit’s game with MI London is a straight winner market on the August fixture in The Hundred, so a **YES** share pays out if London Spirit are declared the winner under the competition’s result rules, and a **NO** share pays out if they are not. That includes ordinary wins, DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties and any walkover or forfeit that the competition counts as a win, while an on-field tiebreak such as a Super Over would also count towards the official winner.

The main historical guide is that these teams have not been evenly matched in recent meetings, which makes a zero-per-cent crowd price notable rather than routine. London Spirit beat MI London by seven wickets on 29 July 2026, before MI London reversed the result four days later with a four-wicket win at Lord’s, a chase that also eliminated Spirit from the competition.[2][1] Earlier in the same campaign, Spirit’s win came with 11 balls remaining, while another meeting between the sides finished tied, showing that this derby has already produced both one-sided and tightly balanced outcomes in The Hundred.[12][4]

For traders, the key variables are the finalised team news, toss, and any late changes to the playing XI or conditions, because short-format cricket can swing sharply on one innings or a weather interruption. The Lord’s fixture listing shows the match scheduled for 6 August at 15:00 local time, while live coverage and score updates confirm how quickly the market can move once the toss and innings begin.[8][13] More broadly, MI London have already shown they can defend and chase against Spirit this season, so any pre-match view is likely to hinge on line-ups, venue conditions and whether either side arrives with stronger momentum from the latest standings and net run rate.[6][14]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI London across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

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Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?

UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.

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