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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

47% YES 53% NO Volume: $185K Liquidity: $453K Closes: 14 Jun 2026
Trade on Prediction Market UK →
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Prediction Market UK Pick
polygram.ink
47% 53% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Prediction Market UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
47% 53% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Prediction Market UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Prediction Market UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Prediction Market UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Prediction Market UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.

Active sub-markets

Map 1 Winner47% Aurora Gaming54% 9z
Map 2 Winner55% Aurora Gaming46% 9z
Match Winner51% Aurora Gaming50% 9z
O/U 2.5 Games49% Over52% Under
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)27% 9z74% Aurora Gaming
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)34% 9z67% Aurora Gaming

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: aurora gaming vs 9z (bo3) - iem cologne major stage 3 stands at 47% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Aurora Gaming and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 14 at 10:30AM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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