Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs Fortress (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs Fortress (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fortress (-6.5) vs Donstu Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-6.5) vs Fortress (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fortress (-3.5) vs Donstu Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs Fortress (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: FOR (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fortress (-9.5) vs Donstu Esports (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-9.5) vs Fortress (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-6.5) vs Fortress (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-9.5) vs Fortress (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fortress (-12.5) vs Donstu Esports (+12.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-6.5) vs Fortress (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between Donstu Esports and Fortress in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C, initially scheduled for June 30 at 4:00AM E…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress (BO3) - E… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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