Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 94% |
| Match Winner | 81% |
| Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) | 60% |
| Map 2 Winner | 59% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 52% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-9.5) vs 3DMAX (+9.5) | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 50% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) | 48% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 42% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) | 40% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) | 38% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 26% |
Market context
Market consensus: 94% chance of counter-strike: faze vs 3dmax (bo3) - xse pro league group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between FaZe and 3DMAX in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 4 at 7:00AM ET. This market will reso…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX (BO3) - XSE Pro League… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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