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Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs megoshort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs megoshort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: Honvéd (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5) 100% Volume: $126K Liquidity: $232K Closes: 14 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs megoshort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: Honvéd (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Honvéd (-3.5) vs megoshort (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Honvéd (-3.5) vs megoshort (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: honvéd vs megoshort (bo3) - nodwin clutch series play-in group a. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between Honvéd and megoshort in the NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A, initially scheduled for July 14 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs megoshort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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