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Belgium vs. Senegal - Player Props

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Belgium vs. Senegal - Player Props" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goals 100% Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shots 100% Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shots 100% Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ shots 100% Volume: $372K Liquidity: $345K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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Belgium vs. Senegal - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goals100%
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shots100%
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shots100%
Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ shots100%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots100%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ shots100%
Sadio Mané: 1+ shots100%
Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ shots99%
Leandro Trossard: 2+ shots95%
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ shots95%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shots90%
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ goals + assists76%
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ shots on target75%
Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ shots70%
Leandro Trossard: 3+ shots65%
Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ shots62%
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ shots60%
Nicolas Jackson: 3+ shots56%
Ismaïla Sarr: 5+ shots55%
Jeremy Doku: 1+ shots55%
Jeremy Doku: 4+ shots55%
Kevin De Bruyne: 5+ shots55%
Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shots54%
Jeremy Doku: 3+ shots53%
Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shots53%
Leandro Trossard: 4+ shots53%
Thibaut Courtois: 2+ saves52%
Nicolas Jackson: 4+ shots52%
Sadio Mané: 2+ shots52%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 1+ shots51%
Sadio Mané: 3+ shots51%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ shots on target51%
Sadio Mané: 1+ shots on target51%
Sadio Mané: 1+ goals + assists51%
Thibaut Courtois: 3+ saves50%
Thibaut Courtois: 4+ saves50%
Thibaut Courtois: 5+ saves50%
Edouard Mendy: 3+ saves50%
Edouard Mendy: 4+ saves50%
Dodi Lukebakio: 3+ shots50%
Dodi Lukebakio: 5+ shots50%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ shots50%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 2+ shots50%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ shots50%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 4+ shots50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 2+ shots50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ shots50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 4+ shots50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 5+ shots50%
Nicolas Jackson: 1+ shots50%
Nicolas Jackson: 5+ shots50%
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ shots50%
Romelu Lukaku: 4+ shots50%
Romelu Lukaku: 5+ shots50%
Sadio Mané: 4+ shots50%
Sadio Mané: 5+ shots50%
Chérif Ndiaye: 4+ shots on target50%
Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ shots on target50%
Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ shots on target50%
Dodi Lukebakio: 3+ shots on target50%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ shots on target50%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 2+ shots on target50%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ shots on target50%
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ shots on target50%
Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ shots on target50%
Jeremy Doku: 1+ shots on target50%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ shots on target50%
Jeremy Doku: 3+ shots on target50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ shots on target50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ shots on target50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ shots on target50%
Leandro Trossard: 2+ shots on target50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 2+ shots on target50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ shots on target50%
Nicolas Jackson: 1+ shots on target50%
Nicolas Jackson: 2+ shots on target50%
Nicolas Jackson: 3+ shots on target50%
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ shots on target50%
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ shots on target50%
Romelu Lukaku: 4+ shots on target50%
Sadio Mané: 2+ shots on target50%
Sadio Mané: 3+ shots on target50%
Sadio Mané: 4+ shots on target50%
Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ shots on target50%
Chérif Ndiaye: 2+ shots on target50%
Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ shots on target50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ shots on target50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shots on target50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ shots on target50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals + assists50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goals + assists50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ goals + assists50%
Jeremy Doku: 1+ goals + assists50%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ goals + assists50%
Jeremy Doku: 3+ goals + assists50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals + assists50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goals + assists50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ goals + assists50%
Leandro Trossard: 2+ goals + assists50%
Leandro Trossard: 3+ goals + assists50%
Sadio Mané: 2+ goals + assists50%
Sadio Mané: 3+ goals + assists50%
Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ shots on target50%
Charles De Ketelaere: 4+ shots on target50%
Bamba Dieng: 3+ shots on target50%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 4+ shots on target50%
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals + assists50%
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goals + assists50%
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goals + assists50%
Romelu Lukaku: 4+ goals + assists50%
Bamba Dieng: 1+ shots on target50%
Bamba Dieng: 2+ shots on target50%
Bamba Dieng: 1+ shots50%
Bamba Dieng: 2+ shots50%
Bamba Dieng: 3+ shots50%
Bamba Dieng: 4+ shots50%
Bamba Dieng: 5+ shots50%
Bamba Dieng: 1+ goals49%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 1+ goals49%
Leandro Trossard: 5+ shots49%
Leandro Trossard: 3+ shots on target49%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 1+ shots on target49%
Nicolas Jackson: 4+ shots on target49%
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ shots on target49%
Ismaïla Sarr: 4+ goals + assists48%
Edouard Mendy: 2+ saves47%
Edouard Mendy: 5+ saves47%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 5+ shots47%
Charles De Ketelaere: 4+ goals + assists47%
Jeremy Doku: 4+ goals + assists47%
Leandro Trossard: 4+ goals + assists47%
Sadio Mané: 4+ goals + assists47%
Kevin De Bruyne: 4+ goals + assists46%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ shots45%
Jeremy Doku: 5+ shots38%
Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ shots35%
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals31%
Chérif Ndiaye: 2+ shots28%
Nicolas Jackson: 2+ shots26%
Chérif Ndiaye: 1+ goals25%
Dodi Lukebakio: 1+ goals25%
Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ shots24%
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ assists24%
Sadio Mané: 3+ goals23%
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ assists23%
Dodi Lukebakio: 4+ shots21%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assists19%
Dodi Lukebakio: 2+ goals18%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals + assists16%
Chérif Ndiaye: 4+ shots14%
Ismaïla Sarr: 1+ assists14%
Bamba Dieng: 2+ goals13%
Bamba Dieng: 3+ goals13%
Chérif Ndiaye: 2+ goals13%
Chérif Ndiaye: 3+ goals13%
Dodi Lukebakio: 3+ goals13%
Ismaïla Sarr: 3+ goals13%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 2+ goals13%
Matias Fernandez-Pardo: 3+ goals13%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 2+ goals13%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 3+ goals13%
Chérif Ndiaye: 5+ shots13%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ assists13%
Sadio Mané: 2+ assists13%
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ assists13%
Leandro Trossard: 1+ goals12%
Ismaïla Sarr: 2+ goals11%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ assists11%
Nicolas Jackson: 3+ goals10%
Sadio Mané: 1+ goals10%
Sadio Mané: 1+ assists10%
Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goals8%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ assists8%
Jeremy Doku: 1+ assists7%
Romelu Lukaku: 2+ goals5%
Romelu Lukaku: 3+ goals5%
Leandro Trossard: 2+ assists5%
Kevin De Bruyne: 2+ goals3%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ shots3%
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ goals2%
Leandro Trossard: 2+ goals2%
Nicolas Jackson: 2+ goals2%
Leandro Trossard: 3+ goals1%
Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ goals1%
Jeremy Doku: 1+ goals1%
Jeremy Doku: 2+ goals1%
Jeremy Doku: 3+ goals1%
Sadio Mané: 2+ goals1%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ shots1%
Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ shots1%
Charles De Ketelaere: 5+ shots1%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals0%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ goals0%
Charles De Ketelaere: 3+ goals0%
Kevin De Bruyne: 3+ goals0%
Charles De Ketelaere: 4+ shots0%
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assists0%
Charles De Ketelaere: 2+ assists0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, belgium vs. senegal - player props stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and Senegal, scheduled for July 1 at 4:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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