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Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Market UK.

Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots 92% Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots 88% Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots 76% Rayan: 1+ shots 71% Volume: $144K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots92%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots88%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots76%
Rayan: 1+ shots71%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots69%
Casemiro: 1+ shots65%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots62%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ shots59%
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots55%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals + assists54%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots54%
Endrick: 1+ shots54%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ shots53%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ shots53%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ shots51%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ shots50%
Lucas Paquetá: 4+ goals + assists50%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ goals + assists50%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ shots on target50%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots on target49%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots on target49%
Raphinha: 2+ shots on target49%
Danilo Santos: 4+ goals + assists49%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ shots on target49%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ shots on target49%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ shots on target49%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ shots on target48%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ shots on target48%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ shots on target48%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ shots on target48%
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots on target48%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ goals + assists48%
Keito Nakamura: 4+ goals + assists48%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots on target48%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots on target48%
Keisuke Ōsako: 3+ saves48%
Keisuke Ōsako: 5+ saves48%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ goals + assists48%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals + assists48%
Endrick: 1+ shots on target48%
Endrick: 2+ shots on target48%
Endrick: 3+ shots on target48%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots on target48%
Raphinha: 4+ shots on target48%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots on target48%
Koki Ogawa: 4+ shots on target48%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots47%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ shots on target47%
Casemiro: 2+ shots on target47%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ shots on target47%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ shots on target47%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ shots on target47%
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots on target47%
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots on target47%
Keito Nakamura: 3+ goals + assists47%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ shots47%
Rayan: 3+ shots on target47%
Alisson: 2+ saves47%
Alisson: 4+ saves47%
Alisson: 5+ saves47%
Keisuke Ōsako: 2+ saves47%
Keisuke Ōsako: 4+ saves47%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ goals + assists47%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ goals + assists47%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals + assists47%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots on target47%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots on target47%
Endrick: 4+ shots on target47%
Luiz Henrique: 4+ shots on target47%
Neymar Jr: 4+ shots on target47%
Raphinha: 3+ shots on target47%
Danilo Santos: 2+ shots on target47%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ shots on target47%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ shots on target47%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ shots on target47%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ shots on target47%
Neymar Jr: 4+ goals + assists46%
Rayan: 4+ goals + assists46%
Bruno Guimarães: 4+ goals + assists46%
Casemiro: 4+ goals + assists46%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ goals + assists46%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots43%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots on target42%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals39%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots on target39%
Daizen Maeda: 4+ goals + assists39%
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals + assists37%
Casemiro: 1+ goals + assists35%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals + assists35%
Endrick: 2+ shots34%
Rayan: 1+ shots on target33%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals30%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots on target29%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ shots29%
Danilo Santos: 1+ shots29%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots28%
Alisson: 3+ saves28%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots27%
Casemiro: 2+ goals + assists27%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goals + assists27%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals + assists27%
Rayan: 2+ shots25%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots25%
Danilo Santos: 2+ goals + assists25%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assists24%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ goals + assists24%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ goals + assists24%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ goals + assists24%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ shots24%
Rayan: 3+ shots23%
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots23%
Endrick: 3+ shots22%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots22%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ shots22%
Luiz Henrique: 5+ shots22%
Rayan: 1+ goals + assists21%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ shots21%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals + assists21%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ shots21%
Neymar Jr: 2+ goals + assists20%
Rayan: 2+ goals + assists20%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ shots on target20%
Casemiro: 1+ shots on target20%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots on target20%
Danilo Santos: 2+ shots20%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals19%
Koki Ogawa: 5+ shots19%
Matheus Cunha: 5+ shots19%
Neymar Jr: 1+ assists18%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals + assists18%
Rayan: 1+ goals18%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ assists17%
Neymar Jr: 3+ goals + assists16%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ shots16%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ shots16%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ assists16%
Endrick: 4+ shots16%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ shots16%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals + assists16%
Vinícius Júnior: 5+ shots15%
Rayan: 4+ shots14%
Casemiro: 2+ shots14%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots14%
Endrick: 1+ goals14%
Daizen Maeda: 3+ goals + assists14%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals14%
Rayan: 2+ shots on target14%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals + assists14%
Danilo Santos: 1+ shots on target14%
Danilo Santos: 1+ goals + assists14%
Danilo Santos: 3+ goals + assists14%
Rayan: 3+ goals + assists13%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots on target13%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ goals + assists13%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ shots13%
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals13%
Rayan: 3+ goals12%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ shots12%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ assists12%
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots12%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ goals12%
Luiz Henrique: 4+ shots12%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots on target11%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ goals11%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ shots11%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots11%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals10%
Rayan: 1+ assists10%
Lucas Paquetá: 4+ shots10%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ goals10%
Koki Ogawa: 4+ shots10%
Igor Thiago: 3+ goals10%
Bruno Guimarães: 3+ goals + assists10%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ goals + assists10%
Rayan: 5+ shots9%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals9%
Neymar Jr: 2+ assists9%
Rayan: 2+ assists9%
Ayase Ueda: 5+ shots9%
Neymar Jr: 5+ shots9%
Casemiro: 3+ goals + assists9%
Endrick: 5+ shots9%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ goals9%
Casemiro: 1+ goals8%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ goals8%
Casemiro: 1+ assists8%
Igor Thiago: 5+ shots8%
Lucas Paquetá: 5+ shots8%
Neymar Jr: 4+ shots8%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ goals7%
Raphinha: 1+ shots on target7%
Danilo Santos: 1+ assists7%
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals6%
Igor Thiago: 2+ goals6%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ assists6%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ assists6%
Endrick: 2+ goals6%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals6%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assists5%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ assists5%
Danilo Santos: 1+ goals5%
Danilo Santos: 2+ assists5%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ assists4%
Neymar Jr: 2+ goals4%
Rayan: 2+ goals4%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ goals3%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ goals3%
Casemiro: 2+ assists3%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ assists3%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ assists3%
Danilo Santos: 2+ goals3%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ goals2%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals2%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ goals2%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ assists2%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ assists2%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ assists2%
Endrick: 3+ goals2%
Casemiro: 2+ goals2%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goals2%
Raphinha: 3+ goals2%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ goals1%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ goals1%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ goals1%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ goals1%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals1%
Neymar Jr: 3+ goals1%
Raphinha: 1+ goals1%
Raphinha: 2+ goals0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 92% YES probability for Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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