Switzerland vs. Colombia - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

On Tuesday, 7 July 2026, Switzerland and Colombia will meet in the FIFA World Cup Round of 16 at BC Place in Vancouver, with the match kicking off at 4:00 PM ET. This prediction market settles on the exact score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. A YES share means you believe the final score will match one of the explicitly listed outcomes; a NO share means you expect any other score. The crowd currently implies an 11% chance for YES, suggesting the market views the specific listed scores as relatively unlikely compared to the broader “Any Other Score” category.

Historically, these two nations have met twice in World Cup play, with Colombia winning both encounters, including a 2–0 victory in 1994. That result frames how traders might interpret the current 11% probability: while Colombia holds a psychological and statistical edge, Switzerland’s three straight tournament wins and disciplined structure make a tight, low-scoring draw or narrow Colombia win plausible. Comparable Round of 16 matches in recent World Cups often end with scores like 1–0, 2–1, or 1–1, which are frequently not the exact outcomes listed in niche markets, pushing the market toward “Any Other Score”.

Traders should monitor pre-match squad announcements, particularly regarding Colombia’s chance creators and Switzerland’s defensive line, as well as any weather updates for Vancouver. Recent analysis from VSiN notes Colombia’s relentless chance creation despite non-clinical finishing, while Switzerland’s organisation remains a key factor [1]. Any late injury news or tactical shifts could significantly alter the likely scoreline, making these catalysts essential for assessing whether the 11% YES probability is justified or mispriced.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Switzerland vs. Colombia - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.