Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The 2026 FIFA World Cup will see Côte d'Ivoire face Ecuador on 14 June at 7:00 PM ET. This market settles on the final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time—extra time and penalty shoot-outs do not count. A YES share pays out if the match ends with one of the explicitly listed exact scores; a NO share pays out if the final result is any other scoreline. The 14% probability currently implied by traders suggests they view a specific exact score as unlikely, which aligns with how prediction markets typically price such granular outcomes: with dozens of possible final scores across both teams, any single result carries modest odds.

Côte d'Ivoire and Ecuador have limited recent competitive history at the senior international level, making direct precedent scarce. However, Ecuador's World Cup appearances in 2006, 2014, and 2022 provide a baseline: they typically concede 1–2 goals per match and score 0–1, suggesting matches involving them often settle in the 0–2 or 1–2 range. Côte d'Ivoire's African Cup of Nations performances show similar patterns. The rarity of extreme scorelines (4–0, 5–1) in modern international football means the probability mass concentrates on narrow results, explaining why any single exact score trades at single-digit percentages.

Traders should monitor team news from late May 2026 onwards: injury announcements, squad rotations, and tactical shifts in warm-up fixtures. Ecuador's squad depth and Côte d'Ivoire's defensive stability will influence expected goal tallies. Fixture scheduling—whether either team plays a demanding match immediately before—affects fatigue and intensity. Any official confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled (versus postponement) will anchor final trading activity closer to kick-off.

Methodology

This page reviews Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.