Colombia vs. Ghana - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

On Saturday, 4 July 2026, Colombia and Ghana will meet in the Round of 32 at GEHA Field in Kansas for a FIFA World Cup match that resolves solely on the 90-minute score, excluding extra time and penalties. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the exact listed score occurs, while a NO share wins if any other outcome happens; here, the market currently implies a 9% chance for the specific score, meaning traders are betting it is unlikely. This setup mirrors past World Cup knockout games where tight defences and low-scoring finishes were common, such as the 2014 match between Argentina and Nigeria, which ended 1–0 after 90 minutes, or the 2018 encounter between France and Peru, also a 1–0 result. Historical data shows Colombia averaging 1.8 goals per match with only 0.4 opponent points, while Ghana has struggled to convert chances in recent tournaments, suggesting a low-scoring affair is plausible but not guaranteed [2][6].

Traders should monitor pre-match training reports and official lineups released by both squads, as any late injury to key attackers could drastically shift the probability. Colombia’s recent training session, captured in a YouTube video, showed their stars in good form ahead of the Ghana clash, while Ghana’s own preparation video indicated similar readiness [3][5]. Additionally, watch for any weather updates or pitch conditions at GEHA Field, as rain or a slippery surface could favour a defensive, low-scoring game. BBC Sport’s live commentary and stats page will provide real-time insights into team dynamics and tactical shifts before kickoff, offering critical data for adjusting positions [4]. With the settlement window ending just after the match, timing is essential for those seeking to capitalise on last-minute developments.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.