England vs. Ghana

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

England meet Ghana in a FIFA World Cup group-stage match on 23 June 2026 at Gillette Stadium, with the market set to resolve on the scheduled kick-off outcome by 20:00 UTC. In prediction-market terms, a **YES** share pays out if England beat Ghana in that match; a **NO** share pays out if England do not win, so the current **14% YES** price is the crowd’s rough estimate of an England victory.[2][4]

That price is notably below the pre-match expectation implied by football markets and team standing. ESPN lists England as a clear favourite, with moneyline odds around **-295** and Ghana at **+1300**, while Sky Sports describes the fixture as a World Cup group match at a neutral venue in Foxborough.[1][2] For context, England are appearing at their 17th World Cup and eighth in succession, which underlines the baseline reputation gap that usually matters in head-to-head pricing.[3] Ghana, by contrast, are an experienced tournament side too, having reached the World Cup quarter-finals in 2010, so this is not a novelty fixture.[6]

Traders will be watching team news, especially final squad announcements, injuries, and any rotation if either side has already secured qualification or needs a result in the group.[1][2] Because the market is tied to a single scheduled match, the main dependencies are straightforward: confirmed line-ups, late fitness updates, and any change to the match timing or venue. FIFA’s match-centre listing shows the fixture as part of the first stage, and ESPN’s event page currently treats it as an open World Cup match rather than a settled result.[4][1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews England vs. Ghana across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.