Croatia vs. Ghana - Total Corners

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Active sub-markets

Market context

On Saturday, 27 June 2026, Croatia and Ghana meet at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia for a FIFA World Cup Group Stage match, with the game kicking off at 5:00 PM ET. In prediction markets, a YES share means you profit if the event occurs (here, the total corners reaching a specific threshold), while a NO share profits if it does not. The market currently implies a 25% chance of the YES outcome, suggesting traders expect a relatively low-corner game.

Historical patterns frame this probability: Ghana has not conceded a goal in this World Cup, and Croatia’s recent matches trend under 10.5 corners in six of their last seven outings[2]. Comparable World Cup group games between defensively solid teams often produce modest corner counts, reinforcing the 25% implied probability. Croatia, playing their third World Cup semi-final since 1998, has shown improved defensive organisation, further limiting attacking transitions that generate corners[5].

Traders should monitor pre-match lineups and in-game tactical shifts, as early goals or defensive substitutions can drastically alter corner volume. Sofascore’s live timeline offers real-time data on corner trends, which is critical for assessing whether the market’s low expectation holds[2]. With both teams prioritising defensive stability, the catalyst for a higher-corner outcome would be sustained attacking pressure from one side, a scenario not yet evident in pre-match analysis[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.