Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Fahad Talib: 2+ saves | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Egil Selvik: 4+ saves | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Fahad Talib: 5+ saves | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Egil Selvik: 3+ saves | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Fahad Talib: 3+ saves | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Fahad Talib: 4+ saves | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Iraq and Norway are scheduled to meet in a FIFA World Cup qualifier on 16 June 2026. This market focuses on which players will score during that fixture, with traders buying or selling YES shares if they believe a specific player will find the net, and NO shares if they expect that player to remain goalless. A YES share pays out if the named player scores at least once; a NO share pays out if they do not. The 50% crowd probability suggests genuine uncertainty about whether the selected player will convert chances.
Historical patterns in World Cup qualifying matches between teams of comparable strength show goal-scorer markets typically reflect both a player's recent form and their team's attacking output. Iraq and Norway have met twice in competitive fixtures since 2012, with results ranging from narrow defeats to draws, suggesting matches where goalscoring opportunities are distributed rather than concentrated. Norway's recent qualifying campaigns have produced consistent attacking threats, whilst Iraq's domestic league activity and continental competition record indicate variable finishing rates. These precedents matter because they shape baseline expectations about how many goals either side is likely to score overall.
Traders should monitor team news releases and squad announcements as the fixture approaches, particularly injury updates to key forwards or midfielders who typically feature in goal-scorer markets. Qualification standings and playoff implications closer to June may also shift tactical approaches—a team needing a win will attack more aggressively, increasing the likelihood of multiple goal-scorer opportunities. Recent form in qualifying rounds, published by FIFA and national football associations, will provide the most reliable data for assessing which players are in-form and likely to start.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $225K.
Methodology
This page reviews Iraq vs. Norway - Player Props across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Iraq vs. Norway - Player Props on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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