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Mexico vs. England - Player Props

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Mexico vs. England - Player Props" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Harry Kane: 1+ shots 93% Harry Kane: 2+ shots 91% Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots 91% Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots 82% Volume: $397K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Mexico vs. England - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Harry Kane: 1+ shots93%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots91%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots91%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots82%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots76%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots64%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots64%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots62%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots51%
Armando González: 1+ shots on target50%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target50%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots on target50%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots on target50%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots on target50%
Jordan Pickford: 5+ saves50%
Raúl Rangel: 3+ saves50%
Raúl Rangel: 5+ saves50%
Armando González: 2+ shots on target48%
Harry Kane: 1+ shots on target48%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target48%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots on target48%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots on target48%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots on target48%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots on target48%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots on target48%
Jordan Pickford: 2+ saves48%
Jordan Pickford: 4+ saves48%
Raúl Rangel: 2+ saves48%
Raúl Rangel: 4+ saves48%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ shots43%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals + assists41%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals + assists40%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals + assists39%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals38%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shots36%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots on target36%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ shots on target35%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals + assists35%
Jordan Pickford: 3+ saves34%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots33%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ shots33%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots33%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ goals + assists33%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ goals + assists33%
Armando González: 2+ shots32%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots32%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals + assists32%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots31%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots on target31%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals + assists31%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists31%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals + assists30%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ shots28%
Julián Quiñones: 4+ shots28%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals27%
Armando González: 1+ shots27%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assists27%
Santiago Giménez: 4+ shots26%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals25%
Raúl Jiménez: 4+ shots24%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots22%
Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assists22%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals + assists22%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots21%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots20%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals + assists20%
Santiago Giménez: 5+ shots19%
Harry Kane: 5+ shots18%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ shots on target16%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ shots on target15%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on target14%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots13%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ assists13%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals12%
Raúl Jiménez: 5+ shots12%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assists12%
Armando González: 1+ goals11%
Harry Kane: 1+ assists11%
Armando González: 5+ shots10%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assists10%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals9%
Santiago Giménez: 1+ goals9%
Julián Quiñones: 5+ shots8%
Marcus Rashford: 5+ shots8%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals + assists8%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots on target7%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ goals6%
Armando González: 4+ shots6%
Ivan Toney: 1+ goals5%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ goals4%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goals4%
Armando González: 3+ shots4%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots4%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots4%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists4%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals3%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ assists3%
Raúl Jiménez: 2+ assists3%
Armando González: 3+ goals2%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals2%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals2%
Santiago Giménez: 2+ goals2%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots2%
Ivan Toney: 5+ shots2%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots2%
Ollie Watkins: 5+ shots2%
Harry Kane: 2+ assists2%
Julián Quiñones: 2+ assists2%
Armando González: 3+ shots on target2%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots on target2%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots on target2%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ shots on target2%
Armando González: 2+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 2+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 3+ goals1%
Julián Quiñones: 3+ goals1%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ goals1%
Raúl Jiménez: 3+ goals1%
Santiago Giménez: 3+ goals1%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 93% probability to mexico vs. england - player props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and England, scheduled for July 5 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Mexico vs. England - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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