Scotland vs. Morocco - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Scotland meet Morocco in their World Cup group match, and this market settles on the **exact score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time** only, with extra time and penalties ignored. For a newcomer, a YES share pays out if the match finishes on the listed scoreline; a NO share pays out if it does not, including the market’s fallback outcome of *Any Other Score*.

An implied **11%** YES price suggests the crowd sees the named scoreline as a low-probability result rather than a mainstream outcome. That is consistent with exact-score markets, where even the most common football scores are usually priced far below 50% because several different results can settle the market as NO. Scotland’s opening 1-0 win over Haiti gives them a recent World Cup result to anchor on, while Morocco’s draw in their first match points to a side capable of keeping games tight[1][3].

The main catalysts are straightforward: official team news, late injury updates, starting XIs, and any schedule or venue changes. Pre-match betting lines on live match pages currently lean towards a low-scoring contest, with totals around 2.5 goals and Morocco slightly favoured in the 1X2 market, which matters because exact-score prices move with expectations about pace and chance volume[2][3]. FIFA’s match-centre listing confirms the fixture and timing, so any delay or alteration before kick-off would be the key procedural development to watch[5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Scotland vs. Morocco - Exact Score on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.